York City 5-1 Aldershot Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
70%
1.27
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
11%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
3.59
Over
60%
1.3
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.57
No
49%
2.24
Total Goals
0-1
21%
8.61
2-3
38%
2.41
4-5
29%
2.29
6+
12%
3.57
Value flag · 0-1 at 8.61 — our 21% vs market 7.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1.4
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
7%
20.85
X/1
13%
4.28
X/2
4%
22.25
X/X
7%
11.1
2/1
10%
17.85
2/2
4%
16.5
2/X
5%
24.45
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York City The Market 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Aldershot Town The Market 14%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
2.68 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.91
1.09 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 2.30
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Average
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Weak
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
154 · 96% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 99 · 93%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York City
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Aldershot Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
6 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 York City York City 7-2 HT 4-2 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
21.09.2024 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-0 HT 0-0 York City York City İBSL
16.03.2024 York City York City 1-0 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
19.08.2023 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-1 HT 1-0 York City York City İBSL
22.04.2023 York City York City 2-2 HT 0-1 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
22.10.2022 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 2-1 HT 1-0 York City York City İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME York City
5-1
AWAY Aldershot Town
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW York City vs Aldershot Town
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

York City swept aside Aldershot Town 5-1. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. With 6 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had York City as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (60%) came home.

Under the surface, York City had 59% of the ball to Aldershot Town's 41%, shots finished 14-13.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, York City had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for York City and 1.17 for Aldershot Town.

York City vs Aldershot Town Result & Final Score

York City 5-1 Aldershot Town in the England - National League on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

York City vs Aldershot Town Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a York City win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split York City 70%, draw 19%, Aldershot Town 11%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (York City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (York City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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