York City vs Aldershot Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
York City v Aldershot Town — Team-Based Signals
York City vs Aldershot Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
York City
İBSL
2-2
HT 0-1
Aldershot Town
İBSL
2-1
HT 1-0
York City
İBSL
0-0
HT 0-0
York City
İBSL
0-1
HT 0-1
Aldershot Town
İBSL
0-0
HT 0-0
Aldershot Town
İN2
York City 1-0 Aldershot Town — Actual Match Statistics
York City edged past Aldershot Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Aldershot Town at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, York City had 47% of the ball to Aldershot Town's 53%, shots finished 17-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aldershot Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for York City and 1.00 for Aldershot Town.
What was the final score of York City vs Aldershot Town?
York City 1-0 Aldershot Town in the England - National League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for York City vs Aldershot Town?
Before kick-off our model rated an Aldershot Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split York City 31%, draw 24%, Aldershot Town 46%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.