Boreham Wood 0-1 Altrincham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 28% vs market 23.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.09
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
10%
13.2
X/1
12%
4.9
X/2
12%
6.35
X/X
12%
4.81
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
16%
4.42
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boreham Wood EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Altrincham EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.27/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.77
-19% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boreham Wood
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Altrincham
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2023 Altrincham Altrincham 1-1 HT 1-0 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İBSL
28.01.2023 Altrincham Altrincham 0-2 HT 0-1 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İBSL
27.08.2022 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 1-1 HT 0-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
15.02.2022 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 2-0 HT 1-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
13.11.2021 Altrincham Altrincham 1-1 HT 0-0 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İBSL
20.02.2021 Altrincham Altrincham 2-3 HT 0-2 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boreham Wood
0-1
AWAY Altrincham
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Boreham Wood vs Altrincham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altrincham edged past Boreham Wood 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Altrincham made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Boreham Wood had 50% of the ball to Altrincham's 50%, shots finished 13-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boreham Wood had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Boreham Wood and 0.83 for Altrincham.

What was the final score of Boreham Wood vs Altrincham?

Boreham Wood 0-1 Altrincham in the England - National League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boreham Wood vs Altrincham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boreham Wood win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Boreham Wood 38%, draw 28%, Altrincham 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Boreham Wood) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boreham Wood) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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