Oldham Athletic 2-2 Chesterfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
37%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.31
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.57
6+ Goals
9%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 32% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.37
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
8%
14.15
X/1
13%
7.22
X/2
11%
4.42
X/X
16%
4.78
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.7
2/X
6%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+5.8pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
38%
Away Win
47%
-9.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.0pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesterfield EU Bookmakers 51%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +8%
1.01/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.05
-21% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
273 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oldham Athletic
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Chesterfield
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
19.08.2023 Chesterfield Chesterfield 1-1 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
25.02.2023 Chesterfield Chesterfield 0-1 HT 0-1 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
03.09.2022 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 0-2 HT 0-2 Chesterfield Chesterfield İBSL
04.02.2017 Chesterfield Chesterfield 0-1 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN1
10.09.2016 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN1
28.03.2016 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oldham Athletic
2-2
AWAY Chesterfield
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Oldham Athletic vs Chesterfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oldham Athletic and Chesterfield shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Oldham Athletic had 48% of the ball to Chesterfield's 52%, shots finished 11-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oldham Athletic had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Oldham Athletic and 0.50 for Chesterfield.

What was the final score of Oldham Athletic vs Chesterfield?

Oldham Athletic 2-2 Chesterfield in the England - National League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oldham Athletic vs Chesterfield?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Oldham Athletic 33%, draw 30%, Chesterfield 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chesterfield) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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