Chertsey Town 1-0 Plymouth Parkway — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
19%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.0
Over
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
44%
4-5
19%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Chertsey Town win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
57%
Home Win
51%
+6.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.2pp
19%
Away Win
26%
-6.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chertsey Town The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Parkway The Market 29%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
2.01/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.70
+17% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
317 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chertsey Town
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Plymouth Parkway
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
01.02.2025 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 2-1 HT 1-1 Chertsey Town Chertsey Town İNGNLP
19.10.2024 Chertsey Town Chertsey Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Chertsey Town vs Plymouth Parkway
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chertsey Town nicked a narrow win over Plymouth Parkway 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chertsey Town as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Plymouth Parkway led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chertsey Town and 2.00 for Plymouth Parkway.

What was the final score of Chertsey Town vs Plymouth Parkway?

Chertsey Town 1-0 Plymouth Parkway in the England - Non League Premier on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chertsey Town vs Plymouth Parkway?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chertsey Town win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Chertsey Town 57%, draw 23%, Plymouth Parkway 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chertsey Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chertsey Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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