Chertsey Town 1-2 Plymouth Parkway — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.51
Over
50%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
38%
4-5
25%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
57%
-13.4pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.1pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+8.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
36%
+14.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
64%
-14.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.4pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chertsey Town The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Parkway The Market 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chertsey Town
1-2
AWAY Plymouth Parkway
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Chertsey Town vs Plymouth Parkway
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plymouth Parkway nicked a narrow win over Chertsey Town 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Chertsey Town at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Chertsey Town had 42% of the ball to Plymouth Parkway's 58%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Chertsey Town vs Plymouth Parkway?

Chertsey Town 1-2 Plymouth Parkway in the England - Non League Premier on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chertsey Town vs Plymouth Parkway?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chertsey Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chertsey Town 43%, draw 27%, Plymouth Parkway 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chertsey Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chertsey Town) ✓ BTTS Yes
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