Atletico Madrid 2-0 Real Oviedo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 29 Nov 2025

Atletico Madrid
2-0 HT 2-0
Real Oviedo
📅29/11/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
Spain - Primera Liga – 2025/2026

Atletico Madrid vs Real Oviedo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home OUR CALL
76%
1.29
Draw
14%
4.95
Away
10%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.18
Over 2.5
63%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
20%
4.14
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
29%
2.97
6+ Goals
13%
9.03
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.14 — our 20% vs market 18.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.47
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
4%
23.1
X/1
25%
3.72
X/2
4%
21.6
X/X
7%
7.7
2/1
10%
24.45
2/2
4%
19.95
2/X
3%
28.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Atletico Madrid win — 76% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
73%
+2.5pp
14%
Draw
17%
-3.6pp
11%
Away Win
10%
+1.1pp
37%
Under 2.5
42%
-5.1pp
63%
Over 2.5
58%
+5.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.0pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Madrid v Real Oviedo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 12%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
2.13/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.73
+3% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +11%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
483 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
19.7 Crosses 11.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Atletico Madrid vs Real Oviedo Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Real Oviedo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.20 xG 1.45
53% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
492 Passes 345
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 14
10 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
04.01.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İSPK
28.07.2015 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid HAZ
09.12.2001 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2

Atletico Madrid 2-0 Real Oviedo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid
2-0
AWAY Real Oviedo
1.93 xG 0.93
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
476 Passes 439
89% Pass Accuracy 89%
30 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid vs Real Oviedo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid saw off Real Oviedo 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Madrid as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Madrid had 52% of the ball to Real Oviedo's 48%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.93 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico Madrid and 0.00 for Real Oviedo.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid vs Real Oviedo?

Atletico Madrid 2-0 Real Oviedo in the Spain - Primera Liga on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid vs Real Oviedo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid 76%, draw 14%, Real Oviedo 11%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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