Barcelona vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Barcelona v Deportivo Alaves — Team-Based Signals
Barcelona vs Deportivo Alaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Deportivo Alaves
İS1
0-1
HT 0-0
Barcelona
İS1
1-1
HT 0-0
Deportivo Alaves
İS1
Barcelona 3-1 Deportivo Alaves — Actual Match Statistics
Barcelona saw off Deportivo Alaves 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Barcelona as the likeliest winner at 78%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.
On the day, Barcelona had 69% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves's 31%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 2.24 to 1.67.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Barcelona and 0.50 for Deportivo Alaves.
What was the final score of Barcelona vs Deportivo Alaves?
Barcelona 3-1 Deportivo Alaves in the Spain - Primera Liga on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Barcelona vs Deportivo Alaves?
Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split Barcelona 78%, draw 14%, Deportivo Alaves 9%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.