Deportivo Alaves 0-3 Barcelona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 6 Oct 2024

Deportivo Alaves
0-3 HT 0-3
Barcelona
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Deportivo Alaves vs Barcelona Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.87
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
53%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.56
2-3 Goals
44%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.89
6+ Goals
10%
8.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.63
1/2
9%
20.7
1/X
5%
14.95
X/1
7%
9.43
X/2
17%
4.14
X/X
11%
5.99
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.14
2/X
7%
14.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 9% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+3.0pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.7pp
52%
Away Win
55%
-2.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.3pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Alaves v Barcelona — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona EU Bookmakers 59%
+8% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +14%
1.11/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.14
+6% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -26%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 83%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.6
20.8 Crosses 15.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Deportivo Alaves vs Barcelona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Barcelona
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.00 xG 1.65
26% Ball Possession 74%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
173 Passes 673
68% Pass Accuracy 90%
13 Box Touches 33
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.02.2024 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-3 HT 0-1 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
12.11.2023 Barcelona Barcelona 2-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
23.01.2022 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-1 HT 0-0 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
30.10.2021 Barcelona Barcelona 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
13.02.2021 Barcelona Barcelona 5-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
31.10.2020 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-1 HT 1-0 Barcelona Barcelona İS1

Deportivo Alaves 0-3 Barcelona — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves
0-3
AWAY Barcelona
0.74 xG 2.67
28% Ball Possession 72%
11 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 9
11 Corners 3
166 Passes 598
72% Pass Accuracy 91%
25 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Alaves vs Barcelona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona cruised past Deportivo Alaves 3-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Barcelona as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Alaves had 28% of the ball to Barcelona's 72%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.74 to 2.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 2.17 for Barcelona.

What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves vs Barcelona?

Deportivo Alaves 0-3 Barcelona in the Spain - Primera Liga on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves vs Barcelona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barcelona win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves 25%, draw 22%, Barcelona 52%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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