Real Sociedad 1-1 Atletico Madrid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 6 Oct 2024

Real Sociedad
1-1 HT 0-1
Atletico Madrid
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.35
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.15
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.12
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.05
X/1
14%
5.35
X/2
16%
5.22
X/X
12%
3.7
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
9%
3.97
2/X
9%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+3.3pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.2pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.8pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Sociedad v Atletico Madrid — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.28/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.38
-5% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
16.5 Crosses 15.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Atletico Madrid
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.41 xG 1.48
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
449 Passes 303
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.05.2024 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
08.10.2023 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
03.08.2023 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad HAZ
28.05.2023 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
03.09.2022 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
22.05.2022 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1

Real Sociedad 1-1 Atletico Madrid — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad
1-1
AWAY Atletico Madrid
1.00 xG 0.54
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
581 Passes 243
90% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 8
34 Crosses 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Real Sociedad had 67% of the ball to Atletico Madrid's 33%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 1.00 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Real Sociedad and 1.50 for Atletico Madrid.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid?

Real Sociedad 1-1 Atletico Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad 39%, draw 28%, Atletico Madrid 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Sociedad), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Sociedad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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