Real Sociedad 0-2 Atletico Madrid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 25 May 2024

Real Sociedad
0-2 HT 0-1
Atletico Madrid
📅25/05/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.86
Over 2.5
39%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.68
No
57%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-1.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
50%
+10.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
50%
-10.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.8pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Sociedad v Atletico Madrid — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid EU Bookmakers 38%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
1.36/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.53
+4% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
16.1 Crosses 16.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Atletico Madrid
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.62 xG 1.16
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
402 Passes 302
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
03.08.2023 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad HAZ
28.05.2023 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
03.09.2022 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
22.05.2022 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
19.01.2022 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İSPK

Real Sociedad 0-2 Atletico Madrid — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad
0-2
AWAY Atletico Madrid
0.61 xG 2.17
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
487 Passes 310
90% Pass Accuracy 85%
29 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid got the better of Real Sociedad 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Atletico Madrid found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Real Sociedad had 60% of the ball to Atletico Madrid's 40%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.61 to 2.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Sociedad and 1.17 for Atletico Madrid.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid?

Real Sociedad 0-2 Atletico Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad 37%, draw 30%, Atletico Madrid 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Real Sociedad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Sociedad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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