Osasuna 1-1 Villarreal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 25 May 2024

Osasuna
1-1 HT 1-0
Villarreal
📅25/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Osasuna vs Villarreal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.94
2-3 Goals
41%
1.94
4-5 Goals
22%
2.78
6+ Goals
11%
7.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.9pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Osasuna v Villarreal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osasuna EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Villarreal EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.34/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.44
-16% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 82%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
23.3 Crosses 13.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3

Osasuna vs Villarreal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osasuna
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Villarreal
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.85 xG 1.40
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
256 Passes 441
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 27
25 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Villarreal Villarreal 3-1 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
19.03.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 0-3 HT 0-1 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
17.10.2022 Villarreal Villarreal 2-0 HT 1-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
05.03.2022 Osasuna Osasuna 1-0 HT 0-0 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
17.10.2021 Villarreal Villarreal 1-2 HT 0-1 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
11.04.2021 Villarreal Villarreal 1-2 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1

Osasuna 1-1 Villarreal — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osasuna
1-1
AWAY Villarreal
0.91 xG 1.60
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
285 Passes 427
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
33 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Osasuna vs Villarreal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osasuna and Villarreal couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Osasuna had 43% of the ball to Villarreal's 57%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.91 to 1.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Osasuna and 1.67 for Villarreal.

What was the final score of Osasuna vs Villarreal?

Osasuna 1-1 Villarreal in the Spain - Primera Liga on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osasuna vs Villarreal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osasuna win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Osasuna 36%, draw 28%, Villarreal 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ BTTS Yes
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