Sevilla 1-0 Real Betis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.8
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.16
6+ Goals
9%
20.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.87
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.05
X/1
15%
5.48
X/2
13%
5.51
X/X
16%
4.05
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
11%
3.9
2/X
7%
13.05
Value flag · 1/X at 13.05 — our 11% vs market 4.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.3pp
34%
Draw
29%
+4.9pp
30%
Away Win
35%
-4.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.0pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sevilla EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Betis EU Bookmakers 38%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +16%
1.04/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.24
-4% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
340 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
20.6 Crosses 13.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sevilla
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Real Betis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.19 xG 0.88
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
353 Passes 288
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 20
27 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 Real Betis Real Betis 1-1 HT 1-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
12.11.2023 Sevilla Sevilla 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
03.08.2023 Sevilla Sevilla 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Betis Real Betis HAZ
21.05.2023 Sevilla Sevilla 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
06.11.2022 Real Betis Real Betis 1-1 HT 1-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
27.02.2022 Sevilla Sevilla 2-1 HT 2-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sevilla
1-0
AWAY Real Betis
1.44 xG 0.61
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
309 Passes 292
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sevilla vs Real Betis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla nicked a narrow win over Real Betis 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 34% / 30% — and on the day Sevilla made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Sevilla had 52% of the ball to Real Betis's 48%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.44 to 0.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sevilla had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sevilla and 0.67 for Real Betis.

What was the final score of Sevilla vs Real Betis?

Sevilla 1-0 Real Betis in the Spain - Primera Liga on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sevilla vs Real Betis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sevilla 36%, draw 34%, Real Betis 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sevilla), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sevilla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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