Barcelona vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Barcelona v Deportivo Alaves — Team-Based Signals
Barcelona vs Deportivo Alaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Deportivo Alaves
İS1
0-1
HT 0-0
Barcelona
İS1
1-1
HT 0-0
Deportivo Alaves
İS1
5-1
HT 2-0
Deportivo Alaves
İS1
Barcelona 1-0 Deportivo Alaves — Actual Match Statistics
Barcelona nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Alaves 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Barcelona as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Barcelona had 71% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves's 29%, shots finished 11-3, expected goals 0.98 to 0.09.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Barcelona and 0.67 for Deportivo Alaves.
What was the final score of Barcelona vs Deportivo Alaves?
Barcelona 1-0 Deportivo Alaves in the Spain - Primera Liga on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Barcelona vs Deportivo Alaves?
Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Barcelona 67%, draw 19%, Deportivo Alaves 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.