Osasuna 2-1 Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
4.94
6+ Goals
7%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.68
1/2
5%
33.5
1/X
7%
14.15
X/1
17%
5.97
X/2
15%
5.04
X/X
16%
3.7
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.61
2/X
7%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.8pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.2pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-3.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.3pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osasuna EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +17%
1.10/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.05
+1% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +53%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
257 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
22.9 Crosses 17.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osasuna
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Real Sociedad
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.78 xG 1.73
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
195 Passes 447
68% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 36
17 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0-2 HT 0-2 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
10.02.2024 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0-1 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
17.01.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 0-2 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İSPK
02.12.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
21.07.2023 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-3 Osasuna Osasuna HAZ
28.04.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 0-2 HT 0-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osasuna
2-1
AWAY Real Sociedad
0.67 xG 2.04
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
249 Passes 453
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 41
16 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Osasuna vs Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osasuna nicked a narrow win over Real Sociedad 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Osasuna found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Osasuna had 37% of the ball to Real Sociedad's 63%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.67 to 2.04 — on chances, Real Sociedad could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osasuna had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Osasuna and 1.00 for Real Sociedad.

What was the final score of Osasuna vs Real Sociedad?

Osasuna 2-1 Real Sociedad in the Spain - Primera Liga on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osasuna vs Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osasuna win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Osasuna 35%, draw 30%, Real Sociedad 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osasuna) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Osasuna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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