Valencia vs Celta Vigo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valencia v Celta Vigo — Team-Based Signals
Valencia vs Celta Vigo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Celta Vigo
İS1
1-2
HT 0-1
Valencia
İS1
3-0
HT 1-0
Celta Vigo
İS1
Valencia 2-1 Celta Vigo — Actual Match Statistics
Valencia squeezed past Celta Vigo 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Valencia as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Valencia had 46% of the ball to Celta Vigo's 54%, shots finished 8-3, expected goals 1.67 to 0.39 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Valencia's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Valencia and 1.50 for Celta Vigo.
What was the final score of Valencia vs Celta Vigo?
Valencia 2-1 Celta Vigo in the Spain - Primera Liga on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valencia vs Celta Vigo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Valencia 42%, draw 27%, Celta Vigo 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valencia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.