Mallorca 2-2 Osasuna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.43
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.74
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.51
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
12%
13.45
X/1
12%
5.13
X/2
13%
6.38
X/X
14%
3.8
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
10%
4.92
2/X
5%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.5pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.7pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mallorca EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -9%
1.03/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.16
-27% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
274 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
20.7 Crosses 19.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mallorca
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Osasuna
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.81 xG 1.05
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
262 Passes 342
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2025 Mallorca Mallorca 1-1 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
24.08.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 1-0 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
14.05.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 1-1 HT 1-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
21.12.2023 Mallorca Mallorca 3-2 HT 1-1 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
31.03.2023 Mallorca Mallorca 0-0 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
14.01.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 1-0 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mallorca
2-2
AWAY Osasuna
1.49 xG 1.09
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 8
321 Passes 273
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 42
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mallorca vs Osasuna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mallorca and Osasuna couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mallorca had 52% of the ball to Osasuna's 48%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 1.49 to 1.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osasuna led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mallorca and 1.00 for Osasuna.

What was the final score of Mallorca vs Osasuna?

Mallorca 2-2 Osasuna in the Spain - Primera Liga on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mallorca vs Osasuna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mallorca win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mallorca 38%, draw 31%, Osasuna 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mallorca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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