Ourense CF 4-3 Unionistas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.45
Over 2.5
42%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.05
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.71
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.6pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.3pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
65%
-7.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
35%
+7.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.9pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ourense CF EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Unionistas EU Bookmakers 32%
+12% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -26%
1.36/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.33
+8% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 18.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ourense CF
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Unionistas
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
14.02.2025 Unionistas Unionistas 2-1 HT 0-1 Ourense CF Ourense CF İS3
05.10.2024 Ourense CF Ourense CF 2-2 HT 0-0 Unionistas Unionistas İS3
POST-MATCH Ourense CF vs Unionistas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ourense CF edged past Unionistas 4-3. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ourense CF as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Unionistas led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ourense CF and 2.00 for Unionistas.

What was the final score of Ourense CF vs Unionistas?

Ourense CF 4-3 Unionistas in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ourense CF vs Unionistas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ourense CF win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ourense CF 45%, draw 27%, Unionistas 28%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ourense CF) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ourense CF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
29 Nov 2025
16:00 Real Madrid II vs Barakaldo Analysis →
18:15 Athletic Bilbao II vs Lugo Analysis →
18:15 Atletico Sanluqueno vs Tarazona Analysis →
20:30 Tenerife vs Arenteiro Analysis →
20:30 Pontevedra vs CD Guadalajara Analysis →
20:30 Sevilla II vs Marbella Analysis →