Athletic Bilbao II 2-0 Lugo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.35
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.72
6+ Goals
9%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Bilbao II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugo EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -12%
1.07/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/0.85
-16% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Bilbao II
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Lugo
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
316 Passes 418
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
2 Yellow Cards 4
21.02.2025 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 2-2 HT 0-1 Lugo Lugo İS3
02.11.2024 Lugo Lugo 1-0 HT 1-0 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS3
22.05.2016 Lugo Lugo 2-0 HT 1-0 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS2
21.12.2015 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 1-1 HT 1-1 Lugo Lugo İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Bilbao II
2-0
AWAY Lugo
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Athletic Bilbao II vs Lugo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao II beat Lugo 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Athletic Bilbao II as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Athletic Bilbao II had 50% of the ball to Lugo's 50%, shots finished 12-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lugo led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Athletic Bilbao II and 1.50 for Lugo.

What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao II vs Lugo?

Athletic Bilbao II 2-0 Lugo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao II vs Lugo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao II 43%, draw 27%, Lugo 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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