Real Madrid II 2-1 Barakaldo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.49
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.39
6+ Goals
9%
23.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
48%
+6.5pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.1pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-2.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid II EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Barakaldo EU Bookmakers 28%
+6% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -4%
1.88/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.22
+31% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid II
2-1
AWAY Barakaldo
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Madrid II vs Barakaldo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid II nicked a narrow win over Barakaldo 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Real Madrid II as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Real Madrid II had 68% of the ball to Barakaldo's 32%, shots finished 14-11.

What was the final score of Real Madrid II vs Barakaldo?

Real Madrid II 2-1 Barakaldo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid II vs Barakaldo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid II 55%, draw 24%, Barakaldo 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid II) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid II) ✗ Under 2.5
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