Holstein Kiel 0-1 Hertha Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.02
6+ Goals
11%
9.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.28
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
28.0
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
12%
5.57
X/2
14%
6.48
X/X
7%
5.19
2/1
8%
24.45
2/2
13%
4.16
2/X
9%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.0 — our 11% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+4.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.2pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holstein Kiel EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hertha Berlin EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.67/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.51
-8% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
20.5 Crosses 19.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holstein Kiel
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Hertha Berlin
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.50 xG 2.97
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
487 Passes 267
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 26
25 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.03.2024 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 2-2 HT 2-0 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
24.09.2023 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 2-3 HT 0-2 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2
21.03.2019 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 1-3 HT 1-2 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Holstein Kiel
0-1
AWAY Hertha Berlin
0.71 xG 0.97
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
0 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
380 Passes 344
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Holstein Kiel vs Hertha Berlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hertha Berlin squeezed past Holstein Kiel 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Hertha Berlin found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Holstein Kiel had 52% of the ball to Hertha Berlin's 48%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.71 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Holstein Kiel and 2.00 for Hertha Berlin.

What was the final score of Holstein Kiel vs Hertha Berlin?

Holstein Kiel 0-1 Hertha Berlin in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holstein Kiel vs Hertha Berlin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holstein Kiel win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Holstein Kiel 38%, draw 24%, Hertha Berlin 38%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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