Magdeburg 3-0 Nürnberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 29 Nov 2025

Magdeburg
3-0 HT 0-0
Nürnberg
📅29/11/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Magdeburg vs Nürnberg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.69
2-3 Goals
39%
1.92
4-5 Goals
26%
2.78
6+ Goals
12%
7.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.01
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
27.5
1/X
7%
12.2
X/1
13%
5.51
X/2
10%
7.0
X/X
7%
5.57
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
20%
4.36
2/X
11%
12.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.5 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+7.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.0pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Magdeburg v Nürnberg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
1.71/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.41
+19% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
14.8 Crosses 15.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Magdeburg vs Nürnberg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Magdeburg
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Nürnberg
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.49 xG 1.29
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
475 Passes 247
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.02.2025 Magdeburg Magdeburg 3-4 HT 1-3 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
31.08.2024 Nürnberg Nürnberg 0-4 HT 0-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
09.03.2024 Magdeburg Magdeburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
01.10.2023 Nürnberg Nürnberg 1-0 HT 0-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
12.05.2023 Magdeburg Magdeburg 2-2 HT 1-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
06.11.2022 Nürnberg Nürnberg 1-2 HT 0-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2

Magdeburg 3-0 Nürnberg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Magdeburg
3-0
AWAY Nürnberg
3.41 xG 0.45
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
399 Passes 257
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Magdeburg vs Nürnberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Magdeburg swept aside Nürnberg 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Magdeburg found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Magdeburg had 58% of the ball to Nürnberg's 42%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 3.41 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nürnberg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Magdeburg and 1.50 for Nürnberg.

What was the final score of Magdeburg vs Nürnberg?

Magdeburg 3-0 Nürnberg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Magdeburg vs Nürnberg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nürnberg win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Magdeburg 37%, draw 25%, Nürnberg 39%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Nürnberg), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nürnberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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