Ingolstadt 3-2 Hoffenheim II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.61
Over 2.5
48%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.39
No
46%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
5.74
2-3 Goals
37%
2.05
4-5 Goals
22%
2.57
6+ Goals
11%
5.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
3.85
1/2
9%
21.8
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
15%
6.69
X/2
17%
5.87
X/X
13%
6.19
2/1
8%
24.45
2/2
15%
3.14
2/X
6%
12.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
35%
+17.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
65%
-17.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.1pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoffenheim II EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+6% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 81%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.7 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ingolstadt
3-2
AWAY Hoffenheim II
41% Ball Possession 59%
19 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 4
250 Passes 408
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
29 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ingolstadt vs Hoffenheim II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ingolstadt squeezed past Hoffenheim II 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Hoffenheim II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Ingolstadt had 41% of the ball to Hoffenheim II's 59%, shots finished 19-12.

What was the final score of Ingolstadt vs Hoffenheim II?

Ingolstadt 3-2 Hoffenheim II in the Germany - 3rd Division on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ingolstadt vs Hoffenheim II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hoffenheim II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ingolstadt 33%, draw 27%, Hoffenheim II 41%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hoffenheim II), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hoffenheim II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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