Saarbrücken 2-3 Rot-Weiss Essen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.6
No
39%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.92
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.06
6+ Goals
13%
9.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.03
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
9%
13.05
X/1
12%
6.26
X/2
19%
5.58
X/X
11%
5.22
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
14%
3.37
2/X
8%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
61%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.2pp
39%
BTTS No
42%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 43%
-9% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
1.07/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.72
-26% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
275 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses 23.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saarbrücken
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
294 Passes 400
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2025 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 0-3 HT 0-2 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
01.12.2024 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 1-0 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
24.04.2024 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 1-1 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
22.10.2023 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 2-1 HT 2-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
18.03.2023 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 3-0 HT 2-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
19.09.2022 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-0 HT 1-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saarbrücken
2-3
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
280 Passes 370
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
37 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Saarbrücken vs Rot-Weiss Essen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Essen edged past Saarbrücken 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Rot-Weiss Essen made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Saarbrücken had 46% of the ball to Rot-Weiss Essen's 54%, shots finished 11-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saarbrücken had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Saarbrücken and 0.67 for Rot-Weiss Essen.

What was the final score of Saarbrücken vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Saarbrücken 2-3 Rot-Weiss Essen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saarbrücken vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rot-Weiss Essen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Saarbrücken 33%, draw 28%, Rot-Weiss Essen 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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