Rot-Weiss Essen 0-3 Saarbrücken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 26 Apr 2025

Rot-Weiss Essen
0-3 HT 0-2
Saarbrücken
📅26/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Rot-Weiss Essen vs Saarbrücken Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.59
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.48
6+ Goals
11%
12.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.48 — our 25% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.63
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
9%
13.0
X/1
15%
5.67
X/2
9%
5.94
X/X
14%
4.86
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
27.5
2/2
14%
3.91
2/X
8%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 11% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
+0.1pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.8pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-4.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.3pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rot-Weiss Essen v Saarbrücken — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 39%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.49/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.21
-3% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.3 Crosses 18.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7

Rot-Weiss Essen vs Saarbrücken Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Saarbrücken
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
354 Passes 357
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.12.2024 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 1-0 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
24.04.2024 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 1-1 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
22.10.2023 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 2-1 HT 2-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
18.03.2023 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 3-0 HT 2-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
19.09.2022 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-0 HT 1-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
08.04.2005 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 0-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL2

Rot-Weiss Essen 0-3 Saarbrücken — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
0-3
AWAY Saarbrücken
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 0
446 Passes 231
85% Pass Accuracy 72%
34 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Essen vs Saarbrücken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saarbrücken ran out comfortable winners over Rot-Weiss Essen 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Saarbrücken found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rot-Weiss Essen had 63% of the ball to Saarbrücken's 37%, shots finished 16-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rot-Weiss Essen and 1.00 for Saarbrücken.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Essen vs Saarbrücken?

Rot-Weiss Essen 0-3 Saarbrücken in the Germany - 3rd Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Essen vs Saarbrücken?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Essen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Essen 38%, draw 31%, Saarbrücken 31%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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