Dynamo Dresden 2-1 Sandhausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.43
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.43
Over 2.5
56%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.27
2-3 Goals
38%
2.03
4-5 Goals
25%
2.79
6+ Goals
14%
7.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.72
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
16.7
X/1
14%
4.12
X/2
9%
13.85
X/X
8%
7.32
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
19.8
2/2
10%
10.65
2/X
8%
18.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.8 — our 13% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
65%
-12.5pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.0pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+9.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.1pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Dresden EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandhausen EU Bookmakers 19%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.01/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.60
+7% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +12%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
373 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
30.3 Crosses 15.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dynamo Dresden
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Sandhausen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.15 xG 1.09
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
329 Passes 185
74% Pass Accuracy 62%
28 Box Touches 16
30 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
30.11.2024 Sandhausen Sandhausen 2-4 HT 2-1 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
20.01.2024 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 0-1 HT 0-1 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL3
18.08.2023 Sandhausen Sandhausen 1-0 HT 1-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
10.04.2022 Sandhausen Sandhausen 2-1 HT 1-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
30.10.2021 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 0-1 HT 0-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2
21.06.2020 Sandhausen Sandhausen 0-1 HT 0-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dynamo Dresden
2-1
AWAY Sandhausen
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
484 Passes 196
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dynamo Dresden vs Sandhausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Dresden squeezed past Sandhausen 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dynamo Dresden as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Dynamo Dresden had 67% of the ball to Sandhausen's 33%, shots finished 18-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sandhausen led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dynamo Dresden and 1.17 for Sandhausen.

What was the final score of Dynamo Dresden vs Sandhausen?

Dynamo Dresden 2-1 Sandhausen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Dresden vs Sandhausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dynamo Dresden win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Dresden 52%, draw 22%, Sandhausen 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dynamo Dresden), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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