Sandhausen 2-4 Dynamo Dresden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.76
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.3
6+ Goals
10%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 24% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.31
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
12%
6.43
X/2
16%
5.21
X/X
14%
4.86
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
15%
3.2
2/X
7%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-3.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandhausen EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Dynamo Dresden EU Bookmakers 45%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -15%
1.77/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.97
+38% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
32.0 Crosses 22.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandhausen
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Dynamo Dresden
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.27 xG 1.25
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
200 Passes 312
63% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.01.2024 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 0-1 HT 0-1 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL3
18.08.2023 Sandhausen Sandhausen 1-0 HT 1-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
10.04.2022 Sandhausen Sandhausen 2-1 HT 1-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
30.10.2021 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 0-1 HT 0-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2
21.06.2020 Sandhausen Sandhausen 0-1 HT 0-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
08.12.2019 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 1-1 HT 1-1 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandhausen
2-4
AWAY Dynamo Dresden
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
259 Passes 272
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sandhausen vs Dynamo Dresden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Dresden got the better of Sandhausen 4-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Dynamo Dresden made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sandhausen had 51% of the ball to Dynamo Dresden's 49%, shots finished 17-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sandhausen had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sandhausen and 0.50 for Dynamo Dresden.

What was the final score of Sandhausen vs Dynamo Dresden?

Sandhausen 2-4 Dynamo Dresden in the Germany - 3rd Division on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandhausen vs Dynamo Dresden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sandhausen win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sandhausen 37%, draw 26%, Dynamo Dresden 37%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ BTTS Yes
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