Dynamo Dresden 0-1 Sandhausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
2.99
6+ Goals
10%
9.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.05
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.4
X/1
20%
4.02
X/2
7%
10.2
X/X
11%
5.58
2/1
7%
21.75
2/2
10%
7.49
2/X
7%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-3.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.4pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Dresden EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandhausen EU Bookmakers 23%
+6% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.78/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/2.51
-1% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -34%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
401 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dynamo Dresden
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sandhausen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.29 xG 1.72
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
305 Passes 223
73% Pass Accuracy 66%
26 Box Touches 22
29 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 4
18.08.2023 Sandhausen Sandhausen 1-0 HT 1-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
10.04.2022 Sandhausen Sandhausen 2-1 HT 1-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
30.10.2021 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 0-1 HT 0-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2
21.06.2020 Sandhausen Sandhausen 0-1 HT 0-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
08.12.2019 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 1-1 HT 1-1 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2
13.04.2019 Sandhausen Sandhausen 3-1 HT 0-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dynamo Dresden
0-1
AWAY Sandhausen
72% Ball Possession 28%
31 Total Shots 2
14 Shots on Target 1
13 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dynamo Dresden vs Sandhausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandhausen nicked a narrow win over Dynamo Dresden 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Dynamo Dresden at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dynamo Dresden had 72% of the ball to Sandhausen's 28%, shots finished 31-2.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sandhausen led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Dynamo Dresden and 1.33 for Sandhausen.

What was the final score of Dynamo Dresden vs Sandhausen?

Dynamo Dresden 0-1 Sandhausen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Dresden vs Sandhausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dynamo Dresden win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Dresden 53%, draw 24%, Sandhausen 23%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) ✗ Over 2.5
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