Hallescher FC 3-1 Ingolstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 20 Jan 2024

Hallescher FC
3-1 HT 3-1
Ingolstadt
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Hallescher FC vs Ingolstadt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.53
No
54%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.36
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
2.88
6+ Goals
11%
8.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.36 — our 29% vs market 17.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.19
1/2
7%
23.45
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
12%
6.56
X/2
17%
5.15
X/X
13%
5.24
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
17%
2.98
2/X
6%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
61%
-15.1pp
54%
BTTS No
39%
+15.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hallescher FC v Ingolstadt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hallescher FC EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 46%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +15%
0.81/2.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.70
-3% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +82%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
339 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 72%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
18.4 Crosses 18.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8

Hallescher FC vs Ingolstadt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hallescher FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Ingolstadt
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.61 xG 1.39
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
361 Passes 223
76% Pass Accuracy 65%
23 Box Touches 29
27 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.08.2023 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 4-0 HT 1-0 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC AL3
06.05.2023 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
08.11.2022 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-0 HT 0-0 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC AL3
27.01.2021 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-1 HT 1-0 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC AL3
26.09.2020 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
08.03.2020 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3

Hallescher FC 3-1 Ingolstadt — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hallescher FC
3-1
AWAY Ingolstadt
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hallescher FC vs Ingolstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hallescher FC saw off Ingolstadt 3-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ingolstadt at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Hallescher FC had 37% of the ball to Ingolstadt's 63%, shots finished 13-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ingolstadt led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hallescher FC and 1.50 for Ingolstadt.

What was the final score of Hallescher FC vs Ingolstadt?

Hallescher FC 3-1 Ingolstadt in the Germany - 3rd Division on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hallescher FC vs Ingolstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ingolstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hallescher FC 33%, draw 26%, Ingolstadt 41%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ingolstadt) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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