Jahn Regensburg 1-1 Verl — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 20 Jan 2024

Jahn Regensburg
1-1 HT 1-1
Verl
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Jahn Regensburg vs Verl Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.58
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
13%
4.48
X/2
12%
7.48
X/X
11%
5.17
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.6
2/2
11%
5.25
2/X
10%
13.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.6 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.2pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jahn Regensburg v Verl — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Verl EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -12%
1.09/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.77
-36% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
343 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.7

Jahn Regensburg vs Verl Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jahn Regensburg
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Verl
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
20.08.2023 Verl Verl 1-2 HT 0-1 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL3

Jahn Regensburg 1-1 Verl — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jahn Regensburg
1-1
AWAY Verl
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jahn Regensburg vs Verl
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jahn Regensburg and Verl couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Jahn Regensburg at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Jahn Regensburg had 54% of the ball to Verl's 46%, shots finished 12-11.

What was the final score of Jahn Regensburg vs Verl?

Jahn Regensburg 1-1 Verl in the Germany - 3rd Division on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jahn Regensburg vs Verl?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jahn Regensburg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Jahn Regensburg 41%, draw 28%, Verl 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jahn Regensburg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jahn Regensburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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