Lübeck 2-1 Waldhof Mannheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 20 Jan 2024

Lübeck
2-1 HT 0-0
Waldhof Mannheim
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Lübeck vs Waldhof Mannheim Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.4
6+ Goals
9%
12.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.44
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
12%
5.29
X/2
11%
5.8
X/X
13%
4.64
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
27.5
2/2
18%
3.91
2/X
9%
12.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 9% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lübeck v Waldhof Mannheim — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lübeck EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim EU Bookmakers 37%
-24% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -9%
1.09/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.28
-28% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
346 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
– Crosses 11.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9

Lübeck vs Waldhof Mannheim Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lübeck
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.08.2023 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 2-2 HT 2-0 Lübeck Lübeck AL3
18.04.2021 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 3-2 HT 3-1 Lübeck Lübeck AL3
13.01.2021 Lübeck Lübeck 0-1 HT 0-1 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
25.05.2003 Lübeck Lübeck 3-1 HT 3-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL2
15.12.2002 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 2-1 HT 0-0 Lübeck Lübeck AL2

Lübeck 2-1 Waldhof Mannheim — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lübeck
2-1
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lübeck vs Waldhof Mannheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lübeck nicked a narrow win over Waldhof Mannheim 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Lübeck found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Lübeck had 55% of the ball to Waldhof Mannheim's 45%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Waldhof Mannheim led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Lübeck and 1.80 for Waldhof Mannheim.

What was the final score of Lübeck vs Waldhof Mannheim?

Lübeck 2-1 Waldhof Mannheim in the Germany - 3rd Division on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lübeck vs Waldhof Mannheim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lübeck 37%, draw 28%, Waldhof Mannheim 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lübeck), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lübeck) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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