Erzgebirge Aue vs Verl Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Erzgebirge Aue v Verl — Team-Based Signals
Erzgebirge Aue vs Verl Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Verl
AL3
2-3
HT 0-1
Verl
AL3
3-2
HT 2-1
Erzgebirge Aue
AL3
Erzgebirge Aue 2-5 Verl — Actual Match Statistics
Verl cruised past Erzgebirge Aue 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 2-4. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Verl as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Erzgebirge Aue had 34% of the ball to Verl's 66%, shots finished 9-20.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Verl led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Erzgebirge Aue and 2.75 for Verl.
What was the final score of Erzgebirge Aue vs Verl?
Erzgebirge Aue 2-5 Verl in the Germany - 3rd Division on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Erzgebirge Aue vs Verl?
Before kick-off our model rated an Verl win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Erzgebirge Aue 31%, draw 29%, Verl 41%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Verl), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.