Verl vs Erzgebirge Aue Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Verl v Erzgebirge Aue — Team-Based Signals
Verl vs Erzgebirge Aue Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Verl
AL3
2-3
HT 0-1
Verl
AL3
3-2
HT 2-1
Erzgebirge Aue
AL3
Verl 5-1 Erzgebirge Aue — Actual Match Statistics
Verl cruised past Erzgebirge Aue 5-1. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Verl as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Verl had 62% of the ball to Erzgebirge Aue's 38%, shots finished 15-4.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Verl had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.20 goals for Verl and 1.60 for Erzgebirge Aue.
What was the final score of Verl vs Erzgebirge Aue?
Verl 5-1 Erzgebirge Aue in the Germany - 3rd Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Verl vs Erzgebirge Aue?
Before kick-off our model rated a Verl win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Verl 43%, draw 26%, Erzgebirge Aue 31%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Verl), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.