Chemie Leipzig 1-2 FSV Zwickau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
49%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
29%
-2.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
49%
Away Win
45%
+3.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chemie Leipzig EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY FSV Zwickau EU Bookmakers 49%
+12% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -12%
1.31/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.37
-5% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
234 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chemie Leipzig
0W-1D-2L
AWAY FSV Zwickau
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2024 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 0-2 HT 0-0 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
10.03.2024 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-2 HT 0-0 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
22.09.2023 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 0-0 HT 0-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Chemie Leipzig vs FSV Zwickau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FSV Zwickau edged past Chemie Leipzig 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FSV Zwickau as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, FSV Zwickau led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Chemie Leipzig and 1.33 for FSV Zwickau.

What was the final score of Chemie Leipzig vs FSV Zwickau?

Chemie Leipzig 1-2 FSV Zwickau in the Germany - Regional League on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chemie Leipzig vs FSV Zwickau?

Before kick-off our model rated an FSV Zwickau win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Chemie Leipzig 26%, draw 25%, FSV Zwickau 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FSV Zwickau), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FSV Zwickau) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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