Greuther Fürth II 1-2 Illertissen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
33%
-1.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-1.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.0pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Illertissen EU Bookmakers 48%
+1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.76/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.43
+20% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greuther Fürth II
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Illertissen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
08.08.2025 Illertissen Illertissen 2-1 HT 1-1 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
15.03.2025 Illertissen Illertissen 0-0 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
07.09.2024 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 0-3 HT 0-2 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
21.10.2023 Illertissen Illertissen 2-2 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
25.03.2023 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 4-0 HT 2-0 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
02.09.2022 Illertissen Illertissen 3-2 HT 1-2 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth II vs Illertissen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Illertissen nicked a narrow win over Greuther Fürth II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Illertissen as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Illertissen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Greuther Fürth II and 1.67 for Illertissen.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth II vs Illertissen?

Greuther Fürth II 1-2 Illertissen in the Germany - Regional League on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth II vs Illertissen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Illertissen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth II 32%, draw 27%, Illertissen 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Illertissen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Illertissen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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