Rapid Wien II 1-1 Sturm Graz II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 29 Nov 2025

Rapid Wien II
1-1 HT 0-0
Sturm Graz II
📅29/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Rapid Wien II vs Sturm Graz II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.2
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
2.85
6+ Goals
9%
8.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.36
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
26.0
1/X
5%
12.7
X/1
17%
5.7
X/2
14%
6.3
X/X
8%
5.45
2/1
5%
24.0
2/2
17%
3.92
2/X
9%
12.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+4.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.4pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rapid Wien II v Sturm Graz II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rapid Wien II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sturm Graz II EU Bookmakers 38%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.15/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/2.08
-25% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -35%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
365 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5

Rapid Wien II vs Sturm Graz II Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rapid Wien II
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Sturm Graz II
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.02.2025 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 1-0 HT 1-0 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II AU2
10.08.2024 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II 4-2 HT 3-1 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
07.04.2023 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II 0-4 HT 0-2 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
07.08.2022 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 1-1 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II AU2

Rapid Wien II 1-1 Sturm Graz II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rapid Wien II
1-1
AWAY Sturm Graz II
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rapid Wien II vs Sturm Graz II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapid Wien II and Sturm Graz II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rapid Wien II had 48% of the ball to Sturm Graz II's 52%, shots finished 8-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz II led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Rapid Wien II and 2.00 for Sturm Graz II.

What was the final score of Rapid Wien II vs Sturm Graz II?

Rapid Wien II 1-1 Sturm Graz II in the Austria - 1st Division on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rapid Wien II vs Sturm Graz II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rapid Wien II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rapid Wien II 39%, draw 23%, Sturm Graz II 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (39/23/39) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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