Dinamo Minsk 1-1 ML Vitebsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.8
6+ Goals
11%
17.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 31% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Minsk EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY ML Vitebsk EU Bookmakers 37%
+20% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.99/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.50
+63% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +129%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Minsk
0W-0D-1L
AWAY ML Vitebsk
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.07.2025 ML Vitebsk ML Vitebsk 2-0 HT 2-0 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Minsk
1-1
AWAY ML Vitebsk
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dinamo Minsk vs ML Vitebsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Minsk and ML Vitebsk shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dinamo Minsk had 47% of the ball to ML Vitebsk's 53%, shots finished 14-14.

What was the final score of Dinamo Minsk vs ML Vitebsk?

Dinamo Minsk 1-1 ML Vitebsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Minsk vs ML Vitebsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Minsk 39%, draw 27%, ML Vitebsk 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dinamo Minsk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Minsk) ✓ Under 2.5
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