Gomel vs Smorgon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gomel v Smorgon — Team-Based Signals
Gomel vs Smorgon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-0
Gomel
BLR
2-0
HT 0-0
Smorgon
BLR
0-0
HT 0-0
Smorgon
BLR
Gomel 3-1 Smorgon — Actual Match Statistics
Gomel saw off Smorgon 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gomel as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Gomel had 54% of the ball to Smorgon's 46%, shots finished 21-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gomel had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gomel and 1.00 for Smorgon.
What was the final score of Gomel vs Smorgon?
Gomel 3-1 Smorgon in the Belarus - Premier League on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gomel vs Smorgon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gomel win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Gomel 48%, draw 28%, Smorgon 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gomel) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.