Fontenay 4-1 Chateauroux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.4
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
56%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.0
Over 2.5
59%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.9
No
45%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
15%
+3.1pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.5pp
56%
Away Win
64%
-7.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
46%
-5.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
54%
+5.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.3pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fontenay EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
314 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 456 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Fontenay vs Chateauroux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fontenay swept aside Chateauroux 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Chateauroux carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Fontenay vs Chateauroux?

Fontenay 4-1 Chateauroux in the France - Cup on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fontenay vs Chateauroux?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chateauroux win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Fontenay 18%, draw 25%, Chateauroux 56%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chateauroux) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chateauroux) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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