Lyon-Duchere 3-1 Carnoux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.3pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.8pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.0pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyon-Duchere EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Carnoux EU Bookmakers 23%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+22% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
423 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Lyon-Duchere vs Carnoux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon-Duchere got the better of Carnoux 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lyon-Duchere as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Lyon-Duchere vs Carnoux?

Lyon-Duchere 3-1 Carnoux in the France - Cup on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyon-Duchere vs Carnoux?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lyon-Duchere win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Lyon-Duchere 51%, draw 30%, Carnoux 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon-Duchere), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lyon-Duchere) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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