SA Merignac vs Pau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
SA Merignac v Pau — Team-Based Signals
SA Merignac 1-0 Pau — Actual Match Statistics
SA Merignac nicked a narrow win over Pau 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Pau at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, SA Merignac had 32% of the ball to Pau's 68%, shots finished 4-12.
What was the final score of SA Merignac vs Pau?
SA Merignac 1-0 Pau in the France - Cup on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for SA Merignac vs Pau?
Before kick-off our model rated an Pau win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split SA Merignac 19%, draw 22%, Pau 59%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.