Saint-Etienne 11-1 USEM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.11
Draw
9%
8.78
Away
21%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
1.0
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
52%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
3%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
85%
-15.6pp
9%
Draw
8%
+0.9pp
21%
Away Win
6%
+14.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint-Etienne EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY USEM EU Bookmakers 9%
-58% / -58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-32% / -77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
65% Ball Possession 35%
22 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
476 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 75%
42.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
40.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saint-Etienne
11-1
AWAY USEM
71% Ball Possession 29%
32 Total Shots 2
22 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Saint-Etienne vs USEM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saint-Etienne ran out comfortable winners over USEM 11-1. Half-time: 7-0. 12 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Saint-Etienne as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 11-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Saint-Etienne had 71% of the ball to USEM's 29%, shots finished 32-2.

What was the final score of Saint-Etienne vs USEM?

Saint-Etienne 11-1 USEM in the France - Cup on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint-Etienne vs USEM?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saint-Etienne win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Saint-Etienne 70%, draw 9%, USEM 21%. The final score 11-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saint-Etienne), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Saint-Etienne) ✓ Over 2.5
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