Kazincbarcika 1-1 Diosgyor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.09
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
2.9
6+ Goals
11%
8.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
31%
-2.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
47%
Away Win
43%
+4.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.1pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kazincbarcika EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 48%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +0%
0.39/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.27
-66% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
15.0 Crosses 26.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kazincbarcika
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Diosgyor
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
1.39 xG 1.99
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
174 Passes 374
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2025 Diosgyor Diosgyor 2-2 HT 0-2 Kazincbarcika Kazincbarcika MAC
16.09.2024 Kazincbarcika Kazincbarcika 2-4 HT 1-1 Diosgyor Diosgyor MACK
26.02.2023 Kazincbarcika Kazincbarcika 1-0 HT 1-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC2
28.08.2022 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-0 HT 0-0 Kazincbarcika Kazincbarcika MAC2
30.06.2018 Diosgyor Diosgyor 4-2 HT 0-2 Kazincbarcika Kazincbarcika HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kazincbarcika
1-1
AWAY Diosgyor
0.92 xG 1.60
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 7
150 Passes 200
58% Pass Accuracy 65%
32 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 21
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kazincbarcika vs Diosgyor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kazincbarcika and Diosgyor shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Diosgyor at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kazincbarcika had 45% of the ball to Diosgyor's 55%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.92 to 1.60.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Diosgyor led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Kazincbarcika and 2.20 for Diosgyor.

What was the final score of Kazincbarcika vs Diosgyor?

Kazincbarcika 1-1 Diosgyor in the Hungary - NB I on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kazincbarcika vs Diosgyor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Diosgyor win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kazincbarcika 29%, draw 24%, Diosgyor 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Diosgyor), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Diosgyor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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