Zalaegerszegi TE 1-0 Paksi SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.93
2-3 Goals
44%
1.94
4-5 Goals
23%
2.64
6+ Goals
10%
6.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
13%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.4pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.66/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.67
+1% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
17.2 Crosses 20.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Paksi SE
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.79 xG 1.66
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
277 Passes 345
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 35
15 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2025 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-2 HT 0-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
22.04.2025 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-1 HT 1-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MACK
29.03.2025 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 HT 0-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
24.11.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-2 HT 1-1 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
10.08.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 3-1 HT 1-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
11.05.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 HT 1-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE
1-0
AWAY Paksi SE
3.43 xG 0.11
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 8
326 Passes 265
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 39
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zalaegerszegi TE vs Paksi SE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalaegerszegi TE squeezed past Paksi SE 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Paksi SE at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zalaegerszegi TE had 52% of the ball to Paksi SE's 48%, shots finished 18-4, expected goals 3.43 to 0.11 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Zalaegerszegi TE's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Zalaegerszegi TE and 1.50 for Paksi SE.

What was the final score of Zalaegerszegi TE vs Paksi SE?

Zalaegerszegi TE 1-0 Paksi SE in the Hungary - NB I on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalaegerszegi TE vs Paksi SE?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Zalaegerszegi TE 34%, draw 24%, Paksi SE 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Paksi SE) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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