Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 Paksi SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
44%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
2.79
6+ Goals
14%
7.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-3.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
44%
Away Win
39%
+5.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.3pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.69/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.58
+2% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 73%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
17.2 Crosses 22.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Paksi SE
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
2.05 xG 2.52
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 9
254 Passes 359
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 38
13 Crosses 38
1 Yellow Cards 3
24.11.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-2 HT 1-1 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
10.08.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 3-1 HT 1-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
11.05.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 HT 1-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
16.02.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-4 HT 2-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
21.10.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-5 HT 2-3 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
26.05.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 HT 1-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE
1-1
AWAY Paksi SE
1.15 xG 0.37
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
342 Passes 256
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zalaegerszegi TE vs Paksi SE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalaegerszegi TE and Paksi SE couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Paksi SE at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Zalaegerszegi TE had 56% of the ball to Paksi SE's 44%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 1.15 to 0.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalaegerszegi TE had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Zalaegerszegi TE and 2.17 for Paksi SE.

What was the final score of Zalaegerszegi TE vs Paksi SE?

Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 Paksi SE in the Hungary - NB I on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalaegerszegi TE vs Paksi SE?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Zalaegerszegi TE 32%, draw 23%, Paksi SE 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paksi SE), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paksi SE) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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