Györi ETO 2-1 MTK Budapest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.57
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.14
6+ Goals
12%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 26% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-4.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.3pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Györi ETO EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.53/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.61
+19% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 77%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
16.2 Crosses 17.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Györi ETO
0W-2D-4L
AWAY MTK Budapest
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.26 xG 2.31
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
322 Passes 250
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 21
28 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
23.11.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 2-2 HT 1-0 Györi ETO Györi ETO MAC
11.08.2024 Györi ETO Györi ETO 1-2 HT 1-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
10.04.2023 Györi ETO Györi ETO 1-2 HT 0-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC2
09.10.2022 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-1 HT 1-0 Györi ETO Györi ETO MAC2
18.04.2015 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 2-1 HT 1-1 Györi ETO Györi ETO MAC
27.09.2014 Györi ETO Györi ETO 1-2 HT 0-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Györi ETO
2-1
AWAY MTK Budapest
1.74 xG 1.59
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
357 Passes 365
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
30 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Györi ETO vs MTK Budapest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Györi ETO squeezed past MTK Budapest 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Györi ETO as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Györi ETO had 50% of the ball to MTK Budapest's 50%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 1.74 to 1.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MTK Budapest led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Györi ETO and 1.83 for MTK Budapest.

What was the final score of Györi ETO vs MTK Budapest?

Györi ETO 2-1 MTK Budapest in the Hungary - NB I on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Györi ETO vs MTK Budapest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Györi ETO win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Györi ETO 41%, draw 26%, MTK Budapest 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Györi ETO) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Györi ETO) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MAC More Hungary - NB I
29 Mar 2025
19:00 Zalaegerszegi TE vs Paksi SE Analysis →
21:30 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus vs Puskas FC Analysis →