Paksi SE 2-2 Zalaegerszegi TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
4.29
2-3 Goals
42%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
9.33
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.29 — our 23% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-10.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+7.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.7pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
2.10/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.65
+20% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
416 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
33.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
32.7 Crosses 13.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paksi SE
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.64 xG 1.90
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
355 Passes 258
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
38 Box Touches 23
38 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 3-1 HT 1-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
11.05.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 HT 1-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
16.02.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-4 HT 2-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
21.10.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-5 HT 2-3 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
26.05.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 HT 1-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
04.03.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-1 HT 2-1 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paksi SE
2-2
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
2.08 xG 2.66
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 20
9 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 8
373 Passes 241
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
38 Box Touches 27
36 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paksi SE vs Zalaegerszegi TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paksi SE and Zalaegerszegi TE couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Paksi SE at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Paksi SE had 59% of the ball to Zalaegerszegi TE's 41%, shots finished 20-20, expected goals 2.08 to 2.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Paksi SE and 2.00 for Zalaegerszegi TE.

What was the final score of Paksi SE vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Paksi SE 2-2 Zalaegerszegi TE in the Hungary - NB I on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paksi SE vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Paksi SE 46%, draw 27%, Zalaegerszegi TE 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paksi SE) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paksi SE) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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