Debrecen 2-2 Kecskemeti TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 24 Nov 2024

Debrecen
2-2 HT 1-1
Kecskemeti TE
📅24/11/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2024/2025

Debrecen vs Kecskemeti TE Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.89
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.23
6+ Goals
11%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.89 — our 27% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-7.1pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.9pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.5pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Debrecen v Kecskemeti TE — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Debrecen EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kecskemeti TE EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -25%
2.11/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.88
+11% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
33.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
27.7 Crosses 17.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6

Debrecen vs Kecskemeti TE Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Debrecen
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Kecskemeti TE
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.02 xG 1.01
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
262 Passes 296
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.08.2024 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 1-1 HT 1-1 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
13.04.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 1-0 HT 0-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
17.12.2023 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 1-1 HT 0-1 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
03.09.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 2-0 HT 0-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
18.03.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 1-2 HT 0-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
29.10.2022 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 2-2 HT 1-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC

Debrecen 2-2 Kecskemeti TE — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Debrecen
2-2
AWAY Kecskemeti TE
1.06 xG 0.84
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
386 Passes 341
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 23
29 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Debrecen vs Kecskemeti TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Debrecen and Kecskemeti TE shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Debrecen at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Debrecen had 52% of the ball to Kecskemeti TE's 48%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.06 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Debrecen had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Debrecen and 1.00 for Kecskemeti TE.

What was the final score of Debrecen vs Kecskemeti TE?

Debrecen 2-2 Kecskemeti TE in the Hungary - NB I on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Debrecen vs Kecskemeti TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Debrecen win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Debrecen 45%, draw 31%, Kecskemeti TE 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Debrecen), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Debrecen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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