Ferencvaros 3-3 Diosgyor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.27
Draw
17%
5.15
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.09
No
48%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.59
2-3 Goals
45%
1.92
4-5 Goals
21%
2.92
6+ Goals
14%
8.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
75%
-6.8pp
18%
Draw
17%
+0.9pp
15%
Away Win
9%
+5.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+8.0pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 11%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +21%
2.27/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.74
+5% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
414 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 77%
36.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
26.1 Crosses 14.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferencvaros
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Diosgyor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.02 xG 1.36
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
517 Passes 262
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
36 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.08.2024 Diosgyor Diosgyor 0-2 HT 0-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
11.05.2024 Diosgyor Diosgyor 2-0 HT 0-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
10.04.2024 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 2-1 HT 2-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
03.04.2024 Diosgyor Diosgyor 0-2 HT 0-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MACK
22.10.2023 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-2 HT 0-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
02.03.2021 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-0 HT 0-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ferencvaros
3-3
AWAY Diosgyor
2.83 xG 1.27
78% Ball Possession 22%
24 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
469 Passes 84
86% Pass Accuracy 57%
54 Box Touches 13
38 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Ferencvaros vs Diosgyor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferencvaros and Diosgyor shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ferencvaros at 68% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Ferencvaros had 78% of the ball to Diosgyor's 22%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 2.83 to 1.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ferencvaros and 0.67 for Diosgyor.

What was the final score of Ferencvaros vs Diosgyor?

Ferencvaros 3-3 Diosgyor in the Hungary - NB I on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferencvaros vs Diosgyor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Ferencvaros 68%, draw 18%, Diosgyor 15%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ferencvaros) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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