Paksi SE 2-2 Zalaegerszegi TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.94
2-3 Goals
39%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
2.55
6+ Goals
12%
6.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.5pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.8pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 30%
+9% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
2.02/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.38
+37% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
33.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
32.2 Crosses 14.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paksi SE
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.97 xG 1.90
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
363 Passes 265
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
35 Box Touches 25
35 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.04.2025 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-1 HT 1-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MACK
29.03.2025 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 HT 0-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
24.11.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-2 HT 1-1 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
10.08.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 3-1 HT 1-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
11.05.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 HT 1-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
16.02.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-4 HT 2-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paksi SE
2-2
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
2.34 xG 1.57
51% Ball Possession 49%
28 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
271 Passes 291
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
57 Box Touches 20
51 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Paksi SE vs Zalaegerszegi TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paksi SE and Zalaegerszegi TE shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Paksi SE at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Paksi SE had 51% of the ball to Zalaegerszegi TE's 49%, shots finished 28-6, expected goals 2.34 to 1.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalaegerszegi TE led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Paksi SE and 2.00 for Zalaegerszegi TE.

What was the final score of Paksi SE vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Paksi SE 2-2 Zalaegerszegi TE in the Hungary - NB I on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paksi SE vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Paksi SE 47%, draw 21%, Zalaegerszegi TE 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paksi SE) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paksi SE) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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